Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. Over the last 20 rounds, Varner is seventh in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach. Casual golf fans may not know his name, but they will soon as he continues to contend on a weekly basis. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Its the chalkiest pick on the board, but Im taking it anyway. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. The 2021 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report Before placing any golf wagers, we consider many, many different variables, but sometimes it's the 'sleeper' factors that inform an event winner. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. Woods is projected under 10% owned. Leish has fallen off a bit since his early-season form, and hes missed the past three PGA cuts. Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. The No. Metrics wise, Hovland pops off the charts, ranking fourth in both "Strokes Gained: Total" and "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee," sixth in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 23rd in "SG: Approach" this season. The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. your golf bets? He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? His only top-15 this season that I just mentioned a moment ago? Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Potential shortstop sleepers. Aside from digging into the data at the RickRunGood.com database and a couple of other models, I try to look for guys that have had past success at the particular course, value plays, and players that are trending in the right direction coming into an event. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). His play outperforms his salary and current projected ownership. The 2022 PGA Championship will be underway this week. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? Hes a sleeper only because of the odds. Southern Hills is arather long course. At 20-1, Smith clearly presents the best value this week at Southern Hills. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 ( DraftKings) Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). Hovland, like Thomas, has one weaker portion of his game, and that is his one-putt percentage. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. Its just that the bookmakers dont over at BetMGM, Champs well down the board, at 150-1 to win. The PGA Championship offers an extremely difficult task at the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island but these sleepers and dark horses could pop and win a major. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. Picks K-free bet up to $1,000. Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 PGA Championship, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. His only win in 2021 was at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship that featured paspalum. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. The form is there, and by all accounts, the course fit is there. This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. Rory McIlroy 8. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. Eventually, hell be due to bring the A-game that has fueled his four wins on TOUR to a major. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Still, Hovland is plenty good enough in that category he ranks 28th to have a quality outing in this major. Why not now? With 97 of the world's top 100 players at the PGA Championship, there's value to be had on the odds board. That kind of weapon can make or break a players week at a major championship. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. While the golf world stirred itself into a frenzy, the tournaments being played since the Masters havent been very inspiring for golf fans. In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. To-win: Sam Burns, +4,000. Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) His driver is a skill that will translate. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh, To-win: Daniel Berger, +5,000. Fifty-four holes, no cut, that's an easy life" -- Padraig Harrington. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. Sleeper pick: Richard Bland, +50,000. Because of that showing by Rory and his recent win at the Wells Fargo Championship, he comes into this event as the betting favorite at +1100. Were about an hour north of downtown. You arent finding any other player with four wins since 2019 being offered at odds this high. The golf world has dramatically shifted since last time the worlds best golfers teed off at Southern Hills at the 2007 PGA Championship. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. 5:06 pm ET, 2023 Masters picks, field, odds, best bets, date, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Sleepers to consider for the 2022 PGA Championship, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. The Ponies 7. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. Part III of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. https://t.co/sKxOMtygIW. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. Suh has exceeded salary-based expectations in nine straight events dating back to last fall's edition of The CJ Cup, where he finished T29 in a very strong field. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. For +12,500, I will bet that we see flashes of 2020 Wolff at Southern Hills. Keegan Bradley at +10,000 and Cameron Tringale at +25,000. Touts are lame. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. Dodgers The Early Favorites For Shohei Ohtani? Like what you read today? Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. Are they right? Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. The PGA Championship features a stacked field of golfers that will compete at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Scheffler, the No. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. The best players in the world, aside from Bryson DeChambeau who. Question: How did you spend that, like how did you occupy the time? Crazy talent. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. All Rights Reserved. Tiger Woods is making his second-straight major start after his triumphant return last month at Augusta National. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Because the API is an elevated event, 27 of the top 30 players in the world will tee it up at Bay Hill with a $3.6 . ), PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. Bland fell just short of earning a Masters invite this year, so Id love to see him have a great major week at Southern Hills. The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Still, he drives and putts well enough to draw consideration as an 80-1 sleeper pick. For all intents and purposes, Smiths the second-hottest player in the world, and hes getting the seventh-best odds in the field. Is Phil Mickelson playing the 2022 PGA Championship? Hes just, well, not there. This number jumps off the board a bit, since it doesnt mesh with Goochs resume entering the PGA Championship. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. Ive only seen 9 holes and Southern Hills is already up there with the best courses Ive played in my life #golf, Jason Day waits to putt on the 18th green during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando. This one feels too easy. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Davante Adams turned down a bigger deal from the Packers to force his way to Raiders, Mohammed Usman sets the record straight on Mitchell Sipe trash-talk, outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. PGA Tour Rising Stars: 6 Pro Golfers to Watch in 2023. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). He will win a major, and likely soon. Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. He may not be the best course fit, with his chipping being a weakness, but that is more than factored into this juicy price. He's long, he's straight, and he's an absolute menace from tee to green. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . The 104th PGA Championship will take place from May 19-22 at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Recent PGA Champions 4. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. At low ownership and price, Lee could be a great GPP option. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Taking sleeper picks is. Check out some of the sleepers in the 2022 PGA Championship below. In this section, I'm looking for guys that have 25-1 or longer odds. No, he is not a tout. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. Smith has two PGA Tour wins in 2022, including the Players, and is considered by many to have the hottest putter on the planet. WIN CASH WITH ROTOQL & BETQL: Start free trial. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. This. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Hes played like a top-30 player in the world over the last six months by Strokes Gained, leading to eight top-15 finishes this season. As for Thomas, he has had six top-10 finishes in competitions since January. Xander Schauffele 6. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Cameron Young plays his shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 14, 2022, in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. Yeah, that came at Augusta National. 2022 PGA Championship viewer's guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch By: Kevin Cunningham He's trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for. Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a. Note:All odds are courtesy of WynnBet. So with that, its no surprise that I have Rory McIlroy as my outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship along with sprinkles on guys like Hideki Matsuyama and Shane Lowry. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. (!!) Lee went on to record multiple top-five place finishes on The DP World Tour last year. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three .