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Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Just go have some fucking fun! Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Yet here we are. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Or could they be underestimates of the true number? You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. dr ali binazir odds of being born. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. One in 2,000. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Are they gross exaggerations? These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Are You a Miracle? Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. You may think You say that to everyone!. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Thank you, Monsignor. On one try. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. I think that was exactly Msgr. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Thats a pretty good trip. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Thats a ridiculously huge number. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Why? May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Think of yourself as dead. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! Step 3. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. And worry and fear? As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Which one's bigger? A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. So whats the probability of your existing? Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Me neither. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. What are the odds of that? Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Maybe that one would have been better. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Is that an African fly or a European one? Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. This button displays the currently selected search type. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! An unimaginably long time. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. You get the volume of planet Earth. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Step 2. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Same to all of us. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Why? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. On one try. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. xx, Lets be social! Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. This includes personalizing content and advertising. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" In other words, as this infographic figures it,. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Which ones bigger? Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Step 4. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. I would call that a personal relationship with God. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Part of HuffPost Wellness. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Those who are brave (foolish?)